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2026 MLB Season · Live Model
Data-Driven
MLB
Predictions
TychoStats uses a multi-factor Elo model — pitcher adjustments, hitting splits, bullpen fatigue, park factors and Vegas odds — to find value bets the public is missing.
Model accuracy 61.3%
O/U accuracy ±1.4 runs
Value bets: +18.4 units
2026 season active
Elo-powered rankings
FanDuel · DraftKings · BetMGM
30 teams tracked daily
Model accuracy 61.3%
O/U accuracy ±1.4 runs
Value bets: +18.4 units
2026 season active
Elo-powered rankings
FanDuel · DraftKings · BetMGM
30 teams tracked daily
61%
Moneyline accuracy
±1.4
Avg run total error
+18.4
Units profit 2026
30
Teams tracked daily
Latest Picks
Today's
Game Picks
Game Picks
The Process
How Tycho
Finds Value
Finds Value
Every pick is generated by a quantitative model that processes dozens of data points updated daily from the MLB Stats API and Vegas sportsbooks.
01
Model Runs
Elo ratings, pitcher adjustments, bullpen fatigue and hitting splits are recalculated every morning using live MLB API data.
02
Vegas Compare
Model probabilities are compared against FanDuel, DraftKings and BetMGM implied odds. Value signals are flagged automatically.
03
Picks Posted
High-confidence picks with value edges of 5%+ are published each morning before first pitch, with full model reasoning shown.
Membership
Pick Your Plan
Cancel anytime. No hidden fees. Stats updated daily throughout the season.
Free
$0
forever
- Yesterday's results
- Weekly model summary
- Power rankings (top 10)
- 2 free picks per week
- Today's full slate picks
- O/U value signals
- Model breakdowns
Most Popular
Tier 1
$9
per month
- Everything in Free
- Full daily picks slate
- Moneyline value signals
- O/U predictions
- Power rankings all 30 teams
- Pitcher start tier system
- Run line picks
- Early morning picks (6am)
Tier 2
$19
per month
- Everything in Tier 1
- Run line value picks
- Early access 6am picks
- Full model breakdown
- Bullpen fatigue reports
- Hitting splits analysis
- Priority Discord access